Consumer prices (provisional data)

According to preliminary estimates, in February 2019 the Italian consumer price index for the whole nation (NIC) increased by 0.2% on monthly basis and by 1.1% with respect to February 2018, up from +0.9% in the previous month.

The acceleration of the growth on annual basis of All items index was mainly due to prices of food, both Processed including alcohol (from zero variation to +1.2%) or Unprocessed (from +1.7% to +3.7%) and Tobacco (from +2.9% to +4.5%), and, to a lesser extent, of Non-regulated energy products (from +0.3% to +0.8%). The slowdown of prices of Services related to transport (from +2.2% to +0.9%) and the wider decrease of prices of Services related to communication (from -2.0% to -4.9%) mitigated this acceleration.

The core inflation excluding energy and unprocessed food was +0.5% (stable compared to the previous month) and inflation excluding energy was +0.8% (in acceleration from +0.6%).

The increase on monthly basis of All items index was especially due to prices of Unprocessed food (+1.3%), of Tobacco (+1.5%) and of Non-regulated energy products (+0.6%), only partially offset by the decrease of Services related to communication (-2.8%).

The annual rate of change of prices of Goods was +1.5% (up from +0.7% in January) and that one of prices of Services was +0.7% (from +1.1% in the previous month). As a consequence, the inflationary gap between Services and Goods was negative and equal to -0.8 percentage points (+0.4 in January).

Prices of Grocery and unprocessed food increased by 0.8% on monthly basis and by 2.1% on annual basis (from +0.6% in the previous month).

In February 2019, according to preliminary estimates, the Italian harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP) decreased by 0,2% on monthly basis, mainly due to further winter sales of Clothing and footwear (-6.0% compared with January 2019), which are not taken into account in the national index NIC. The HICP increased by +1.2% with respect to February 2018 (+0.9% in the previous month).